A profecia conveniente

Peter Turchin's predictions about Russia's rise and Europe's decline have sparked debate. He argues that Russia could become a major power if it wins the war, while Europe faces disintegration due to nationalism. Turchin's theories, rooted in historical patterns, suggest that elite overproduction and state legitimacy issues contribute to Europe's fragmentation. However, his conclusions align with narratives that benefit Moscow, raising concerns about their validity. The article argues that Europe can still unite against external threats and should not accept a predetermined fate. The future remains open to change based on collective decisions.