China takes to the sea. Beijing provokes but does not shoot.

The Philippines currently chairs ASEAN and emphasizes maritime security amid tensions with China. Experts express skepticism about achieving a binding code of conduct for the South China Sea, which has been in development for over two decades. The ongoing disputes involve multiple countries and historical claims dating back to colonial times. Recent incidents highlight escalating tensions, particularly around Scarborough Shoal. The region's countries have differing strategies regarding China, complicating consensus within ASEAN. A recent survey indicates a shift in regional preferences towards China over the USA, although economic development remains a priority. The competition between the two powers is also seen as beneficial for investment in ASEAN, but concerns about dependency on China persist.