Prof. Marek Migalski: Braun is a functional ally of Tusk

Supporters of the Confederation of the Polish Crown mainly come from former PiS voters, impacting the electoral landscape. The d'Hondt method may reduce the number of opposition seats in the next parliament, benefiting the Civic Coalition. Grzegorz Braun's rise complicates the political situation for the right, potentially leading to a fragmented vote. If the right fails to unite, it could result in a significant loss of seats, allowing the Civic Coalition to capitalize on the situation. Braun's success may also hinder the formation of a new government, as both Braun and Kaczyński might prefer to remain in opposition. This dynamic could lead to a quick collapse of any new government involving Braun, paving the way for early elections and a potential return of the opposition to power.