Navigation warning: new frontiers in the Mediterranean

The recent unanimous approval by Libya's House of Representatives of a maritime delimitation memorandum with Turkey marks a significant shift in the country's political dynamics. This memorandum, originally signed in 2019, establishes maritime boundaries between Turkey and Libya, allowing both nations to claim potentially resource-rich areas in the Eastern Mediterranean. The approval reflects a changing landscape, particularly with the rise of Saddam Haftar, who is positioning the Libyan National Army as a more pragmatic force willing to negotiate. This shift may facilitate Turkey's influence in Libya and support for a potential reunification of the country. The memorandum also aligns with Turkey's broader geopolitical ambitions in the region, particularly its Mavi Vatan doctrine, which seeks to expand Turkish maritime claims and influence.