The CIS leaves PP and Vox without options to govern, at the start of the campaign

A recent CIS pre-election survey indicates that Pedro Sánchez's PSOE could secure an absolute majority in the upcoming elections, with an estimated 33.3% of the vote. The PP is projected to receive 25.5%, while Vox is at 18.4%. This outcome suggests that PP and Vox would not be able to form a government, as their combined seats would fall short of the required majority. The survey, conducted shortly after a tragic train accident, shows a high expected voter turnout of 83%. Among candidates, Gabriel Rufián from ERC is rated highest, while Sánchez ranks third. The survey reflects a significant mobilization of the PSOE electorate.