Federico Steinberg, principal researcher at Elcano: "Democrats have been very skillful in choosing their candidates: radicalized where they could win, centered in more moderate states"

Voters have punished Trump for economic mismanagement and democratic erosion, with inflation and deportation policies impacting support. The Democratic Party's diverse candidates have effectively appealed to various voter bases, leading to significant victories. Corruption concerns have also influenced public perception, as voters feel disconnected from Trump's policies. The future of the Democratic Party's unity remains uncertain, especially on contentious issues. Young and Hispanic voters have shifted away from Republicans, raising questions about the permanence of this trend. The recent Democratic wins in traditionally Republican states suggest potential structural changes, but historical electoral advantages for Republicans remain. Changes in U.S. foreign policy may be limited, with significant shifts expected only after 2028.

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