Midterms 2026: how the coalition of voters that enabled Donald Trump's victory in 2024 has unraveled

The midterm elections on November 3 marked a significant defeat for Donald Trump and the disintegration of his coalition. Preliminary analyses indicate a diverse electoral landscape that contrasts with the previous election. By November 5, Democrats secured 240 House seats and 54 Senate seats, surpassing the required majorities. Voter turnout data shows approximately 56% supported Democrats, while 43% favored Republicans, indicating a notable shift in voter preferences since 2024. Democrats gained ground among male voters and strengthened their lead among female voters.