Svimez, il sud cresce ancora più del centro-nord ma frena nel 2027

In 2026, the South of Italy is expected to grow slightly more than the Center-North, with a GDP increase of 0.9% compared to 0.8%. However, by 2027, this trend may reverse, with Southern growth slowing to 0.5% against 0.6% for the Center-North. This slowdown is attributed to the diminishing impact of the PNRR and a sharp decline in investment growth from 6% in 2026 to 0.8% in 2027. Additionally, inflation is expected to negatively affect real disposable income in the South, which may decrease by 0.1%. Migration trends show a loss of young people from the South to the North and abroad, with a net negative balance of approximately 84,000 individuals in the 25-34 age group.